Service Plays Sunday 06/28/09

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Hondo

June 28, 2009

The Yankees spared Hondo a trip into red figures last night, making mincemeat of the Metamucils to raise the earnings to 75 dropos. Today, he'll try to make some big money with Penny -- 10 units on the Bosawx to chop Los Bravos.
 
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THE SPORTS ADVISORS

SUNDAY, JUNE 28

NATIONAL LEAGUE

San Francisco (39-34) at Milwaukee (40-34)


The Brewers look to make it a three-game sweep over San Francisco as they send veteran Jeff Suppan (5-5, 4.65 ERA) to the mound at Miller Park opposite Giants’ rookie Ryan Sadowski, making his first major league start.


Milwaukee took Saturday’s game, 7-6, scoring three times in the bottom of the ninth to get the win as Giants’ reliever Brian Wilson blew his fourth save of the season. Prince Fielder hit a three-run homer in the sixth and drove in the winning run in the ninth to lead the way for the Brewers. Milwaukee has won three of five games with San Francisco this season, nine of the last 11 with the Giants and 16 of the last 19 meetings in Miller Park.


The Brewers are 17-5 at home against teams with winning records, but they are just 4-7 in their last 11 at home, 1-4 on Sundays, 3-5 against the N.L. West and 1-5 in the third game of a series. The Giants are 4-0 on Sundays, 7-2 in the third game of a series and 5-3 overall, but they are on slides of 26-56 on the road against teams with winning records and 11-28 against the N.L. Central.


Sadowski takes the place of Jonathan Sanchez, who has been moved to the bullpen after his 2-8 start to the season. Sadowski, a 26-year-old right-hander, was 5-2 with a 4.11 ERA in 13 starts with Triple-A Fresno this season.


Suppan has struggled at home this season, going 1-4 with a 5.74 ERA. Tuesday he gave up seven runs (four earned) in five innings of a 7-3 loss to the Twins at home. The loss snapped a three-game winning streak the Brewers were on with him on the hill. He faced these Giants back on April 7 and gave up six runs on six hits in four innings of a 10-6 loss in San Francisco. Milwaukee is 9-4 in his last 13 starts, but just 2-5 in his last seven at home and 1-6 in his last seven on Sunday.


With Suppan on the hill, the Brewers have topped the total in four of his last six starts, but they’ve stayed under the total in seven of his last 10 against teams with winning records. As a team, the Brewers are on “over” runs of 9-3 overall and 6-1 in the third game of a series, but the under is 7-2 in games they’ve faced N.L. West competition. It’s been all “unders” for the Giants lately, including 5-2 overall, 4-2 on the road, 4-1 against right-handed starters and 5-2 in the third game of series. In this series, the over is 20-7-2 in the last 29 meetings, including 11-3-2 in the last 16 played at Miller Park.


ATS ADVANTAGE: MILWAUKEE



INTERLEAGUE


N.Y. Yankees (42-32) at N.Y. Mets (37-36)


The Yankees will try to make it a clean sweep at Citi Field when they send struggling Chien-Ming Wang (0-6, 11.49 ERA) to the hill against the Mets’ veteran Livan Hernandea (5-2, 4.05).


The Yankees blanked the Mets, 5-0, on Saturday, getting one-hit pitching from A.J. Burnett and two relievers. Nick Swisher and Jorge Posada delivered home runs to lead the offense for the Yankees, who have outscored the Mets 14-1 and outhit them 22-4 in the first two games of this series. The Yankees have won four of five from their crosstown rivals this season and outscored the Mets 29-1 in the last three games and 40-15 in the five games this season.


Joe Girardi’s squad is on several positive runs, including 25-11 as a favorite, 62-30 in the third game of a series and 10-4 as a road favorite. Meanwhile, the Mets are on several slides, including 1-6 in interleague games, 1-5 as an interleague ‘dog, 3-10 on Sundays, 7-19 in the third game of a series and 2-6 in interleague home games.


Wang has been disappointing this season, going 0-4 on the road with an 11.42 ERA and 0-3 in his last three outings with a 7.11 ERA. Tuesday he gave up three runs on six hits in five innings at Atlanta as the Yankees dropped a 4-0 decision. Wang has allowed three runs or more in each of his seven starts this season. Despite his troubles, the Yankees are still 53-21 when Wang starts as a favorite, 47-23 in his last 70 starts overall and 21-7 when he goes as a road favorite.


Hernandez is 2-1 at Citi Field with a 3.34 ERA and he was solid on Tuesday, giving up three runs (two earned) in seven innings to the Cardinals, but getting no support in the 3-0 loss. He’s allowed three runs or less in eight of his last 10 starts for the Mets, but on June 12 he got rocked by the Yankees, giving up six runs on seven hits in 5 1/3 innings of a 9-8 loss. He’s struggled against the Bronx Bombers in his career, allowing 25 runs in 30 innings of work. The Mets are 0-5 in when he starts as a ‘dog and 1-4 in his last five overall.


With Wang on the hill, the Yankees are on “over” runs of 9-3-1 overall, 5-0 in the third game of a series, 6-2 as a road favorite and 8-3 on Sundays. For the Mets, with Hernandez on the mound, the “under” is on streaks of 5-2 overall and 4-0 when he’s an underdog of up to +150.


As a team, the Yankees are on “over” streaks of 4-2 overall, 4-2 in interleague games and 4-2 against the N.L. East. The Mets are riding “over” streaks of 12-6-3 as an interleague ‘dog, 11-6-1 as a ‘dog overall, 9-5-1 as a home pup. In this rivalry, the under has been the play in five of the last six meetings on the Mets’ home field.


ATS ADVANTAGE: N.Y. YANKEES and OVER
 
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06-28-2009, 06:51 AM <!-- / status icon and date --></TD><TD class=thead style="BORDER-RIGHT: #fdde82 1px solid; BORDER-TOP: #fdde82 1px solid; FONT-WEIGHT: normal; BORDER-LEFT: #fdde82 0px solid; BORDER-BOTTOM: #fdde82 1px solid" align=right> #9 <INPUT id=plist_6786887 style="PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 0px; PADDING-BOTTOM: 0px; MARGIN: 0px 0px 0px 5px; VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle; PADDING-TOP: 0px" type=checkbox value=0 name=plist[6786887] inlineModID="inlineMod"> </TD></TR><TR vAlign=top><TD class=alt2 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #fdde82 1px solid; BORDER-TOP: #fdde82 0px solid; BORDER-LEFT: #fdde82 1px solid; BORDER-BOTTOM: #fdde82 0px solid" width=175>MMfan<SCRIPT type=text/javascript> vbmenu_register("postmenu_6786887", true); </SCRIPT>
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Join Date: Sep 2008
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<HR style="COLOR: #fdde82; BACKGROUND-COLOR: #fdde82" SIZE=1><!-- / icon and title --><!-- message --><TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=3 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR bgColor=#dddddd><TD vAlign=top>Jack Clayton</TD><TD vAlign=top align=right>Guaranteed Selections</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE><TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=3 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=top>Date: Sunday, June 28, 2009
$25.00 Guaranteed: The only thing better than winning in baseball is winning with a DOG! Underdogs offer the best value, if you know what to look for. Jack Clayton releases a 5-Star Diamond Doggie of the Month on Sunday's baseball slate that should be favored! Get the big jump on oddsmakers with this big dog, and pay ONLY when they pull the upset!
</TD><TD vAlign=top noWrap align=right>6/27/2009</TD></TR><TR><TD colSpan=2></TD></TR><TR><TD colSpan=2>5* Red Sox (959) at Braves: There are a lot of problems for the home team. Boston is red hot and patient at the plate. They love to draw walks and Atlanta starter Tommy Hanson has walked 15 in 23 innings, a terrible ratio. And he's getting worse, walking 14 in his last three starts (17 innings). The Red Sox feast off pitchers who walk too many batters, clogging the bases. Hanson may be 3-0, but he's allowed a whopping 38 base runners in 23 innings! Boston has a great bullpen, plus starter Brad Penny has been very good, 6-2. He has a sizzling 1.62 ERA his last three starts. The wrong team opened as the favorite. Play the Red Sox! </TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
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Rated Picks

MLB:
Detroit Tigers -125
StLouis Cardinals -130
Colorado Rockies +110
Boston RedSox +105
Min Twins/St Louis Cardinals OVER 8.5
 

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From Indian Cowboy:

4 Unit Play. Take Under 9.5 LA Angels @ Arizona Diamondbacks (Sunday @ 4pm est). Let's hit the well once again with the Under in Arizona similar to yesterday. Bear in mind that Matt Palmer comes off a rough start where he gave up 6 runs in in less than 5 innings against the Rockies at home losing 1-11. After that start, he was obviously dissappointed with his effort as the Memphis native had put together three straight quality starts prior to that. Tack that on with the fact Arizona has lost back to back games to the Angels coming into this game, they will look to Scherzer for a strong outing and to avoid the sweep. Scherzer has been one of the brighter spots in the Arizona rotation of late as he has a 3.53 era and is 3-0 over his last 3 starts giving up 4 runs over his last 4 starts which comprises of nearly 25 innings. I look for a strong effort from Palmer who is on the bounce-back as well as Scherzer who has pitched strong of late and who will attempt to help his team avoid the sweep at home this afternoon. The Angels are an Underdog to the tune of 4-0-2 when they are an underdog by this margin and the Under is 5-1 in Scherzer's last game of a 3 game series
 
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MLB DUNKEL

Florida at Tampa Bay
The Marlins look to rebound from yesterday's 3-2 loss and build on their 4-1 record in Andrew Miller's last 5 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in the previous game. Florida is the pick (+145) according to Dunkel, which has the Marlins favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Florida (+145). Here are all of today's picks.

SUNDAY, JUNE 28

Game 951-952: San Francisco at Milwaukee
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Sadowski) 14.929; Milwaukee (Suppan) 16.194
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-150); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-150); Over

Game 953-954: Cincinnati at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Owings) 13.454; Cleveland (Huff) 14.904
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1 1/2; 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-140); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-140); Over

Game 955-956: Philadelphia at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Moyer) 16.052; Toronto (Tallet) 14.849
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Toronto (-145); 10
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+135); Over

Game 957-958: NY Yankees at NY Mets
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Wang) 15.172; NY Mets (Hernandez) 15.654
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-130); 10
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+120); Under

Game 959-960: Boston at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Penny) 15.913; Atlanta (Hanson) 14.304
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: Boston (+105); Under

Game 961-962: Kansas City at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Greinke) 14.648; Pittsburgh (Morton) 14.580
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-155); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (-155); Over

Game 963-964: Florida at Tampa Bay
Dunkel Ratings: Florida (Miller) 16.979; Tampa Bay (Price) 15.961
Dunkel Line: Florida by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-155); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida (+145); Under

Game 965-966: Washington at Baltimore
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Lannan) 14.052; Baltimore (Hernandez) 15.686
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-135); 10
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-135); Under

Game 967-968: Detroit at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Jackson) 14.751; Houston (Ortiz) 15.645
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Detroit (-145); 9
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+135); Over

Game 969-970: Chicago Cubs at Chicago White Sox
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Zambrano) 16.218; White Sox (Danks) 14.616
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-110); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+100); Under

Game 971-972: Minnesota at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Liriano) 16.212; St. Louis (Pineiro) 15.005
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-140); 9
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+130); Over

Game 973-974: Colorado at Oakland
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Cook) 14.819; Oakland (Mazzaro) 15.390
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Oakland (-130); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-130); Under

Game 975-976: Seattle at LA Dodgers
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Olson) 14.854; LA Dodgers (Kuroda) 16.303
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-200); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-200); Over

Game 977-978: LA Angels at Arizona
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Palmer) 15.112; Arizona (Scherzer) 15.424
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Arizona (-130); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-130); Over

Game 979-980: San Diego at Texas
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Gaudin) 14.558; Texas (Hunter) 14.222
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1/2; 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Texas (-175); 11
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+165); Over
 
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WNBA DUNKEL

Seattle at Los Angeles
The Sparks look to build on their 11-1 ATS record in their last 12 home games. Los Angeles is the pick (+2 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the game even. Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (+2 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

SUNDAY, JUNE 28

Game 651-652: Sacramento at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento 106.431; Detroit 117.809
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 11 1/2; 152 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit by 6; 143
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-6); Over

Game 653-654: Seattle at Los Angeles
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 115.553; Los Angeles 115.717
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 138
Vegas Line & Total: Seattle by 2 1/2; 137
Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (+2 1/2); Over
 

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BIG AL's #1 INTERLEAGUE GAME OF THE YEAR!

At 1:35pm our selection is on the Atlanta Braves over the
Boston Red Sox.

Even though he sports a 6-2 record, Red Sox newcomer/2009 free agent pick-up Brad Penny has to be considered somewhat of a disappointment so far this season. Penny has an ERA just shy of five runs and even against the lowly Nationals, the 10-year veteran righthander couldn't throw a quality start or collect a win for his team (although the Red Sox did win that game despite Penny giving up all of the Nats' runs in the first 5 2/3 innings). Penny has struggled mightily on the road this season with a 2-1 record and 5.21 ERA in seven starts away from Fenway Park. Coming from the National League, Penny is plenty familiar with this afternoon's venue. Unfortunately, the story is not particularly good there either, as in 11 career appearances at Atlanta's Turner Field, Penny has only won twice and has an ERA of 5.13. If the Sox are going to leave inter-league play on a winning note, they will have to slow down one of the fastest-rising rookies in baseball, Atlanta's young-gun righthander Tommy Hanson. Hanson has back-to-back scoreless performances, and the last one was particularly impressive as it came last Tuesday against the New York Yankees. The Braves, also, are 100% perfect (4-0) in Hanson's starts. Finally, for all of their success this season, the Red Sox are barely above .500 on the road.

Interleague Game of the Year on Atlanta.
 

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The Sports Investing Professional - Free Blog

So far so good guys a perfect 5-0.....

NYY / NYM OVER 10

Here is the blog address for those who want to check
it out for yourself
 

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brandon lang

Sunday ...
Nationals (Lannan over Hernandez) -
Cardinals (Pinero over Liriano) -
Braves (Hanson over Penny) -
paid and confirmed by me
 

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